The effects of changing land use and flood hazard on poverty in coastal Bangladesh

Authors: Mohammed Sarfaraz Gani Adnan, Abu Yousuf Md Abdullah, Ashraf Dewan, Jim W. Hall

The construction of polders in the coastal region of Bangladesh has significantly modified the patterns of flooding, as well as leading to significant land use/land cover (LULC)changes. The impact of LULC change and flooding on poverty is complex and poorly understood. This study presents a spatiotemporal appraisal of poverty in relation to LULC change and pluvial flood risk in the south western embanked area of Bangladesh. A combination of logistic regression, cellular automata, and Markov Chain models were utilised to predict future LULC based on historical data. 

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Kelly Ann Naylor, Associate Director, Water, Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH) Section, Programme Division, UNICEF

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